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Red Dot Investor · Investing Education

Asset Allocation: The Only Free Lunch

The Tablecloth That Never Dips

Imagine two food stalls. One sells only laksa; the other sells only dessert. Both have good years and bad years. A partner who owns both, in the right proportions, eats far more steadily than either sole owner — and earns nearly the same over the cycle.

That is diversification. It is the closest thing investing has to a free lunch, because it improves risk without necessarily reducing return.

What Correlation Actually Means

Assets are correlated when they tend to move in the same direction. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are highly correlated — own both and you own a bigger helping of the same bet. But stocks and long bonds have, historically, moved together far less. When equities crash, flight-to-safety flows often lift bond prices.

That negative-to-low correlation is the entire game: a portfolio whose parts zig and zag can have less volatility than any single component.

The Practical Version

A standard building-block portfolio looks like this:

  1. Global equity — the growth engine.
  2. Bonds — the shock absorber and dry powder.
  3. Cash/SORA-linked reserves — liquidity for living expenses and the occasional opportunity.
  4. Optional sleeves — credit (high-yield), REITs, gold, small allocations that add diversification but also add behavior risk.

The percentages matter less than the discipline of anchoring: deciding your target, rebalancing when drift exceeds a band, and refusing to change the plan in the heat of a drawdown.

The Rebalancing Discipline

When equities rise for years, your equity sleeve quietly grows to 70% of the portfolio. Rebalancing forces you to sell high and buy the laggards — mechanically, on schedule, with no emotion. It feels wrong precisely when it is most right.

Set bands. A common rule: rebalance when any class drifts more than five percentage points from target. Do it on a calendar, not on a feeling.

The Takeaway

Do not waste your risk budget on a single market. Spread it across assets that respond differently to the same world news. The reward is not higher returns — it is the ability to stay invested, which is the only return that matters over decades.